For a long time, I have toyed with this idea, and for many years I assumed it was because there wasn’t a demand (as well as "compliance" problems noted below). However, with the price of farmland skyrocketing (see the December 15, 2011 WSJ article A Bubble Down on the Farm?) now would seem the ideal time to create such a REIT. Note, I say “ideal” time from a product marketing perspective – the capital should be easy to raise. I do not say “ideal” time from an investment perspective – anytime an investment is hitting all time highs, commanding interest from major publications like the WSJ, and the topic of cocktail conversation, the value boat has likely sailed. With all that fanfare, a Google search revealing only a handful of potential farmland REITs is perplexing.
Again, although I’m not championing a farmland REIT at current valuation levels – I think the idea has long-term merit / viability. Perhaps we can hash out the details of how to construct one now and be prepared for down the road when/if farmland becomes a good value – you know, when we bang our heads against the wall to raise capital in a great out of favor value investment.
A few bullet points on how I think a farmland REIT could be structured:
Bottom-line, I haven’t talked myself out the idea that a farmland REIT could be an efficient and margin improving business structure. I don’t think now is a good time to invest in a farmland REIT, but structured correctly, it could be a good way to apply the Wal-Mart model to another highly competitive business.
And yes, I talked about destroying the American farm, building up corporate agriculture, mimicking Wal-Mart, and how much revenue farmers receive from Uncle Sam all in one article. That should be enough to get me banned from the Farmers Union for life. Enjoy!
Harvest Investor © 2011. All rights reserved. The content and ideas contained in this blog represents only the opinions of the author. The content in no way constitutes investment advices, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. No content shall be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The author may hold positions in the securities and companies mentioned on this site. Any position disclosed on this site may be modified or reversed without notice to you. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the author.
- Focus on a geographically and seasonally advantageous product – wheat for instance (or more broadly, small grains). The wheat belt runs from central Texas up through the western Midwest and on into the Canadian prairies. The life cycle of wheat, particularly harvesting, follows the same south to north progression, with harvest beginning in Texas (late May) and running sequentially north until early September at the Canadian border. More so than other commodities like corn, soybeans, or cotton, wheat follows a sequential progression north, ideal for exploiting economies of scale.
- Although REITs are typically rent takers, whereby they simply own and lease their properties (be they malls or condominiums) to end users, economies of scale can be realized by an operating subsidiary. Under the REIT Modernization Act of 1999, a REIT can own 100% of a taxable subsidiary that provides service to tenants and others. In other words, a REIT could buy up acres strategically located at intervals throughout the wheat belt, lease the acres back to a local farmer, and provide an operating subsidiary that furnishes labor, equipment, and ancillary services back to the lessee.
- In modern agriculture, (most) farmers are price-takers. A REIT operation acknowledges this and instead puts the focus on what can be controlled – costs. Spreading costs around through geographic diversification, higher equipment utilization, and buying/selling power.
- Equipment and technology costs are the biggest single line item expense for most modern farms. A REIT that could provide well maintained, modern machinery in a timely and cost efficient manner that could save precious pennies per bushel (think of a more focused version of machinerylink.com).
- It is estimated that 40% of farmers in the U.S. are 55 years old or older. Some of those operators may not be ready to retire, but they are ready for some “help.” These farmers are good managers, but they are looking to transition their careers toward more of a management role. They may not have family interested in farming, are sick of trying to find reliable seasonal help, and they would like a partner. A sale leaseback with these operators would likely prove ideal.
- Of course, we can’t ignore FSA payments. We can argue whether they are good or bad, but they are a fact of modern agricultural life. Although the REIT would be cash leasing the ground to individual farmers who would be charged with complying with regulations and staying under payment cap levels, the link to the REITs operating subsidiary may be deemed material and thus cause for loss of payments. Just throwing out numbers, but if somewhere between 5 – 30% of top line farm revenue comes from the USDA, loss of this revenue would be catastrophic to a REIT model.
Bottom-line, I haven’t talked myself out the idea that a farmland REIT could be an efficient and margin improving business structure. I don’t think now is a good time to invest in a farmland REIT, but structured correctly, it could be a good way to apply the Wal-Mart model to another highly competitive business.
And yes, I talked about destroying the American farm, building up corporate agriculture, mimicking Wal-Mart, and how much revenue farmers receive from Uncle Sam all in one article. That should be enough to get me banned from the Farmers Union for life. Enjoy!
Harvest Investor © 2011. All rights reserved. The content and ideas contained in this blog represents only the opinions of the author. The content in no way constitutes investment advices, and should never be relied on in making an investment decision, ever. No content shall be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or financial instrument, or to participate in any particular trading or investment strategy. The author may hold positions in the securities and companies mentioned on this site. Any position disclosed on this site may be modified or reversed without notice to you. The content herein is intended solely for the entertainment of the reader, and the author.